Loading Events

« All Events

  • This event has passed.

Behind the Numbers: Polling and the German Election

September 20, 2021 @ 11:00 am - 12:00 pm EDT

In February, the Christian Democrats were riding high in the polls. By May, they had dropped some 10 percentage points and the Greens had surged to a temporary peak. Trailing by two or more percentage points throughout the year, in August the Social Democrats swept past the Greens and the Christian Democrats to take a strong lead in the polls. Much of the jockeying in the polls has to do with the candidates for Chancellor and how they are resonating with the public.

The race to succeed Angela Merkel in Germany’s federal election in less than two weeks is still wide open. Experienced analysts and casual observers have been closely following the polling data in the run up to September 26 in the hope that it might reveal how the election might play out. But few have watched the polling numbers as closely as Dr. Cornelius Hirsch, an Intelligence Analyst with POLITICO Europe and a co-founder of pollofpolls.eu which was acquired by POLITICO. Join the American Council on Germany for a discussion about the polls in the last days of campaigning.

Dr. Cornelius Hirsch joined POLITICO Europe as an Intelligence Analyst in May 2019. Previously, he co-founded pollofpolls.eu, a polling data website which was acquired and integrated into POLITICO’s website. Poll of Polls offers professional polling aggregations for all upcoming national elections in Europe.

In 2020, Dr. Hirsch completed his doctoral studies in economics and social sciences at the Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU Wien) focusing on international trade, globalization, and the impact of both on rural areas. He holds an M.Sc. in agricultural economics from Humboldt-University Berlin and a B.Sc. in economics from the Free University Berlin.


September 20, 2021
11:00 am - 12:00 pm