Although the United States and its European allies still hope diplomacy can avert a conflict with Russia over Ukraine, it is not clear how united the west is in its response to the unfolding crisis.
It was widely reported that the United Kingdom sent aircraft carrying weapons bound for Ukraine “around” Germany and that Germany stopped the transfer of artillery from Estonia to Ukraine sparking questions about Berlin’s support for Kyiv. Over the weekend Germany’s chief naval officer resigned over controversial remarks he made about Russia and the threat to Ukraine. Some analysts and observers have described Germany’s position on the crisis as “schizophrenic.” Writing for the Center for European Policy Analysis, Oxana Schmies spoke of “Germany’s paralyzing fear of war,” and warned that for the new government it is “worryingly clear that forging a united Russia policy is difficult and marred by underlying disagreement. [Link]
As the prospects of Russian provocation and action against Ukraine reach the boiling point, it is fair to ask how reliable a partner Germany is (and will be) as the United States and other allies lean forward in deterrence and preparation for response.
Join the American Council on Germany and the Tennessee World Affairs Council for a discussion with Ambassador John Kornblum, former U.S. Ambassador to Germany, and Dr. Liana Fix, Resident Fellow at the German Marshall Fund of the United States.